New JPJ Summon Charges? (Dec 2011)

Don't know whether this is true or not, JPJ (Jabatan Pengangkutan Jalanraya) have recently unveiled a set of new charges for traffic offenders. As a Malaysian with proper financial planning, sometimes we simply cannot ignore those "saman" issued by JPJ for various offences. It can eat into our money. By carefully study the charges being imposed by JPJ, we can estimate the amount associated with various traffic offences for proper "saman" planning.

Traffic Summon Charges

Price quoted below are nett without further discount, bargaining are subject to price increase without further notice.

Speeding: 

Exceeding 1 - 20km/h = $130 + 4 Demerit  Points. 

Exceeding 21 - 30km/h = $150 + 6 Demerit Points. 

Exceeding  31 - 40km/h = $180 + 8 Demerit Points. 

Exceeding 41 - 50km/h = $200 +  12 Demerit Points + Court. 

Exceeding 51 - 60km/h = $200 + 18 Demerit Points + Court. 

Exceeding 61km/h = $200 + 24 Demerit Points + Court. 

Careless Driving = $150 + 6 Demerit Points. 

Inconsiderate Driving = $170 + 9 Demerit Points + Court. 

Dangerous Driving = $200 + 24 Demerit Points + Court + Vehicle Compounded. 

Illegal Racing = $200 + Vehicle Confiscate + Court. 

Fail to put on Seat Belt = $120 + 3 Demerit Points. 

Double White Lines = $130 + 4 Demerit Points. 

Phone and Drive = $200 + 12 Demerit Points + Phone Confiscate.

DO NOT hold your handphone in your hand when you drive even with loud speaker or ear piece. 

Drink Driving (1st offence) = Up to $5,000 Fine and, or Jail Term + License Suspended + Court. 

Drink Driving (2nd offence) = Jail Term + Fine + Court. 

Making an illegal U Turn when there's no U-Turn sign = $70 . 

Fail to Signal when changing lanes = $70 . 

Driving at night without Headlights or Taillights switch on after 7pm = $30 . 

No Number Plate =  $70. 

Obstructed Number Plate = $70. 

Obscured Number Plate  = $70. 

Number Plate Of Unapproved Type = $70 

Demerit Point System : 

Let's say you have 0 point on 1st January 2011, and you committed the offence of Failing to Put on Seat Belt. So now, you will have 3 demerit points and this will last for 1 Year. 

If during this 1 year you have no demerit points offence at all, your 3 demerit points will be gone on 1/1/2012. 

But, if during this one  year, From 1/1/2011 - 1/1/2012, you committed another offence with demerit points, your very first offence will be extended for another year until 1/1/2013. 

The information in this post is purely for readers reading pleasure only. Finance Malaysia Blog does not take responsibility on the content written here, and readers should find out the real facts themselves.

5 Things to Consider before Marriage

Do you noticed that many people are getting married lately? How many wedding invitations have you received this year? Or, are you planning to form your own family now? Yes. I had 4 wedding dinners to attend to next month. Good month indeed?

During good times, many couples decided to tied their knot as they feel that their situation became better, especially financially. Not only Government may consider to hold general election, love birds are joining the bandwagon due to the feel good factor. When consumer confidence is rising, people tends to spend and hold events or celebrations. All of this involves money. Marriage, depending on how grand you want it to be, can be very costly. What an interesting topic to discuss here!!!

First, I must congratulates those love birds. But, we must be realistic that there is some issues that must be dealt with differently before and after marriage. What are they?

What kind of Lifestyle?

Too simplified ones lifestyle, it viewed as toning down our social status. In contrast, we should not spend lavishly just to show off our social status. The question here is, how simplified or comfortable your lifestyle should be after getting married? Discuss with you partner now.

I think that we should practiced the so called "gratitude", by spending and living in a more discipline way, instead of by emotion. If you and your partner differs in the way of living, troubles may set in. By being thankful for what we already have, we would not need to satisfy our material wants or even develop any. This help us save money in the process. Then, we can utilized the money saved for other better purposes, such as investments.

Time allocation?

Now, you're not alone anymore. You have another person waiting for you to come back home everyday. Many people think that by buying expensive gifts, they can fulfill their love towards their partner. But, does it what they really want? Why do your partner marry you at the first place? Gifts or Loves?

If gifts, that's not true love. What if another guy giving her a better and more expensive gifts one day? On the other hand, if the answer is love (I hope this is the answer most of the time), how are you going to enhance the longevity of love? Utilize your energy towards quality time and enhancing relationships with loved ones. Not every kind of enjoyment requires money to be spent. All we need is a change of attitude towards wastage and ensuring money grows out of money. I think this would be a better and long-lasting relationship. Since young, our teachers taught us that time is priceless. Still remember?

Women are more brave after marriage?

Emm... Maybe because married women have another person to rely on, they tend to be "more brave" financially. Example, they may not care much about their job because there is always another job waiting - housewife. If there is anything financial crisis, they can tap into the other's income. And most of the time, men are reluctant to discuss their financial standings with his loved one. But, what if he lose his job? It is important to be honest to each other about one another financial situation to avoid any unfortunate surprises relating to money.

Does child a happy gift or burden?

A child is a wonderful addition to the family. Planned or unexpected, a pregnancy requires additional budget which a married couple must be prepared for. Did you figure out how much is the additional costs involved? Regular medical checkups, surgical fees, baby items and baby sitter need to be prepared. Even if you don't eat, your child still need to. Then, how about baby's education, insurance, savings account and other needs? If you already planned for it, a child is actually a happy addition to a family.

Marriage debt?

Many people resorted to seek help from financial institutions. Personal loan is one of the most common way to finance a marriage event. Because of "face", many new couple borrow from banks and pay installments after that. Meaning, they are in debt (or more debts) because of marriage. Does it worth it? I don't know because love can be blind sometime. Agreed?

Anyway, I do not encourage anyone to take out a loan for this supposedly happy marriage. Delay or postpone the once in a lifetime event until you and your partner is ready (unless unexpected pregnancy occurs). At the end of the day, realistically speaking, there is an old saying that goes: "You can't live on love alone, you need money to survive". With this, I end writing here and Finance Malaysia wishes all of you have a wonderful and blissful marriage.

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Why GOLD is a different asset class?

Today, gold is becoming an ever important asset class in the world. Banks nationwide is offering investors the opportunity to invest in gold, whether it is for capital preservation or capital gain. How well you diversify without investing in gold? This is the question being asked by those already investing in gold, and most of them already making profit out of it. But, is it really so different? Is it really a must have asset class?

History of Gold

Gold has been used for numerous monetary functions long long time ago, especially in China. Ancient people used gold as a form of currency and storage of wealth. By using gold as a medium to which paper currency was pegged, most modern international monetary systems were created since then.

What drives up Gold price?

The modern gold rush scenario happened since 2008 global financial crisis, driven by extremely low deposits rate on cash, very volatile equity markets and surging inflation. Negative real value of money is the key factor why many people rushing to gold since then. And of course, the wealth generated by India and China sparked the demand for gold too. Both Indians and Chinese are buying gold as a status they long-been dreaming of.

More people are flocking to Gold

Because of the bad loss-making experience in equity investments during 2008 financial crisis, investors exited the capital markets and were holding record amounts of cash then. However, the low yields on cash and other safer instruments left investors searching for better yield elsewhere. Low volatility, safe asset class, and storage of wealth naturally makes gold investment popular. This is when "Gold rush" sets in, with or without your attention. Yes, we're in the midst of gold rush currently and could persist for few years more.

Emerging Markets is the main drivers

In 2010, 54% of total global demand for gold were for the purposes of making jewelry. Who are these rich people? Yup, Asians were the regular jewelry supporters. Indian demand alone was responsible for around 1/3 of total global demand. This trend is expected to continue as more Indians make their way into the middle class and have the ability to spend their income on gold jewelry.

Following closely was Chinese, whom is beginning to display a trend that could see it overtake the ultimate title in the near future. Traditionally, Chinese cannot runaway from buying gold during Chinese New Year, marriages, new born or even birthdays. This reasons ensure the sustainability of Chinese demand for gold. In total, 40% of global jewelry demand is contributed by Indians and Chinese.

China is the largest gold producing country?

Despite record high gold prices, total mine production was fairly unchanged and remain below levels seen earlier in the decade. This was due to rising production costs and tighter legislation in certain gold producing countries. The latest was in Peru, where protesters were staging a rally for past few days against environment damaged resulted from gold mining activities there.

South Africa, once the largest gold producing country, was overtaken by China since 2007. Hence, China is going to dominate both demand and supply of gold and is expected to continue its pattern of growth going forward.

US and Western Central Banks are largest gold holders?

To re-balance currency reserves, liquidation of gold by central banks globally was a routine procedure. Despite the fact that most western central banks are, for all effects and purposes, over-allocated to gold, annual sales trends began to gradually slow as the effects of financial crisis is not over yet. Obviously, European Central Banks (ECB), have been very hesitant to sell gold from their external reserves back into the marketplace because they view gold as a currency proxy and a way to diversify their holdings. European, from banks to people, prefer to hold gold rather than currency at risk of continue devaluation.

Meanwhile, Emerging countries with particularly small gold holdings as a percentage of reserves currently are diversifying from US dollars. Instead, emerging economies are regular buyers of gold now. As these economies continue its speed to grow bigger, a paradigm shift appears to be unavoidable.

The above factors explained why gold is a different asset class. We cannot simply read the historical trends and using technical analysis tools to predict the gold price directions. Yet, we invest into gold to protect and create wealth, amid the looming economy crisis.

Osnutet är bäst…

Osvuret är kanske bäst men faktum är att jag den senaste tiden fått känslan av att vara tillbaka i finanskrisen gryning, 2007-2008. Bl.a. känns det som att risken för en stor finansinstitutkollaps, t.ex. en bankkollaps eller försäkringsbolagskonkurs, ökat signifikant den senaste tiden.

Varför då? Jo av det enkla skälet att, från min synvinkel i alla fall, alldeles för lite har gjorts för att komma till rätta med de problem som orsakade krisen, samtidigt som finansmarknaderna samt institutionerna börjat anpasa sig till detta. Vilka problem är det jag pratar om? Jo framförallt är det bonuskulturen i finanssektorn som tillåtits fortleva nästan oförändrad. Och som en konsekvens av detta tror jag bankerna etc. fortsätter ta för mkt risk. MF Global är ett exempel på detta, Dexia likaså. Detta, tillsammans med det inkompetenta handläggandet av euro-krisen och de därpå följande kraftiga marknadsreaktionerna den senaste tiden, tror jag är en farlig kombination. Det kan också vara värt att notera likheterna mellan spreadexplosionen 2007 (för corporate credits) och spreadexplosionen 2011 (för europeiska sovereigns).

Medan de flesta väntar sig att en kollaps av en europeisk stats finanser skulle kunna leda till en eller flera bankkollapser tror jag faktiskt det omvända skulle kunna inträffa. En plötslig ”flash collapse” i ett betydande finansinstitut, som t.ex. skulle kunna orsakas av politikernas ”sabotage” av credit default swap marknaden för sovereigns, och medföljande svårighter för banker att hedga sig mot t.ex. Grekland eller Spanien, skulle kunna leda till att euro-problemet så att säga snabbspolas fram till bristningsgränsen!

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April 2009: Lituaiska är ett roligt språk! Bilden ovan tog jag i Vilnius 2009 och jag tog den förstås för att belysa de roliga namnen i Lituaen som nästan alla verkar bygga på att man lägger til –as i slutet av ett mer eller mindre !! traditionellt indoeuropeiskt ord. Vem hade kunnat ana att denna lilla bank två år senare skulle kunna få effekter på Saab i Trollhättan i Sverige?

November 2011: Snoras i ”konkurs” ==> Snoras förre ägare efterlyst internationellt ==> Snoras förre ägare visar sig också vara långivare till Saab ==> Snoras ägare arresterad i London (i natt…) ==>Litauens riksgäld kräver ev. Saab på pengar för att betala tillbaks pengar som förskingrats i Snoras, ev. av denne man ==>......

Heresy in the shadow of the City: Max Keiser sacrifices the sacred cows of finance

London banks were on high alert last week as Max Keiser – the dark lord of financial hellraising – arrived in London to do what he does best: Sacrifice the sacred cows of finance orthodoxy. It’s fitting that he chose to do so in a pub down an alley in London Bridge – The south bank has long been a place of covert speakeasies where villains, pirates and heretics might slag off the king and preach rebellion among the drunken rabble. The event was a fundraiser in aid of Resonance FM, London's alternative arts radio station. Needless to say, it was awesome, and yes, I was drunken rabble.

DARK LORD RAP: MAX RAGES AGAINST THE MACHINE

Max Keiser is in intriguing guy. I don’t claim to know his background in any depth, but the quoted back story says he was 1) initially a stockbroker, 2) then an entrepreneur that started the Hollywood Stock Exchange, (a platform for buying and selling film rights, later sold to the huge brokerage Cantor Fitzgerald) and 3) an entertainer that carved out a media career in fiery financial commentary. For those who haven't seen Max in action, he's one of the most outspoken critics of banking practice. He cuts a compelling figure, using a background in the financial industry as a platform from which to advance ideas that are serious no-go areas in mainstream finance chat… stuff like questioning the entire basis of modern monetary systems and advocating that senior bankers should be burnt at the stake. 

If this stuff was coming from the standard academic commentator, it would probably sound crap, but Max has made an artform out of passionate advocacy of deeply heretical points of view. Where some people would sound preachy and self-righteous, Max just sounds indignant, pissed off, and funny to boot. He has what many critical academics lack – an opportunistic flair and a talent for entertainment. It’s very seldom that someone can make stand-up comedy out of financial commentary, whilst simultaneously making you deeply question things. He’s both a joker with a mischievous flame and an underdog hyena who cares about injustice. He doesn't claim to be pure, and the fact that he’s been out and tried the system gives him clout.

Financial terrorists

MY MATE LLOYD

Max is certainly controversial. In fact, he's pure leveraged controversy. He likes to refer to senior bankers as 'financial terrorists'. He shoots political correctness in the head with disturbing stories of financial rape and epic incompetence. He told us about 'the suicide trader', a concept he's been dreaming up as the basis for a potential upcoming production: The story goes that there's this trader in the World Trade Centre, watching the planes coming and deciding to stay in his chair betting against aeroplane stocks instead of trying to escape. Methinks that could cause a stir...

Karma-banking

OUTLAWS: STACY HERBERT & MAX

I met a hedge fund manager a few months ago who knows and loves Max. This probably supports my point, made in a recent Guardian article, that some of the best hedge fund managers are those that do not give a flying f**k about what they’re supposed to think. Max himself has dabbled in some interesting hedge fund ideas. Back in the early 2000s he started Karmabanque. Although it’s suggested that Karmabanque was a  hedge-fund in and of itself, Max has characterised it as a ‘broker of dissent’ – a middleman between hedge funds looking to bet against companies, and activists looking to target companies with campaigns. I haven't been able to drill down into the exact structure of Karmabanque and how effective it was, but it's a thought-provoking idea: Betting against companies with poor social and environmental records and then making them targets of activism to drive down their share prices. Some would call that idea 'market-manipulation'. Others would call it sweet justice, a scheme in the spirit of Robin Hood and other underdog rogues (see Greenpeace article). Theoretically speaking, money made in the process could be steered back into doing something positive, like investing in renewable energy, but in the end it seems Karmabanque was shelved. It now provides an interesting model to consider when designing any future activist hedge funds.

Calling the emperor's new clothes: Buy silver, crash JP Morgan

More recently Max has become known for his 'Buy silver, crash JP Morgan' campaign. Max believes that JP Morgan is deeply exposed to a huge naked short position in silver. If it is true, it means JP Morgan is seriously vulnerable to the price of silver going up too much. He reckons that if enough people try buy silver to force the price up, JP Morgan would be forced to try cover its short position (i.e. reverse it's bet against silver), leading to a runaway 'short-squeeze' (in which they scramble to buy silver to get out of their trading position and in so doing cause the price to skyrocket even more) causing JP Morgan to go bankrupt. Here is the dramatised version:

It’s an interesting theory, and not one that I know enough about to have any particular view on it. Max seems pretty sure of himself though, and the campaign goes on. In any case, he advocates the possession of precious metals as a much better alternative to fiat currencies, which he thinks are all going to shit. 

Time will tell if Max is right or wrong, but regardless of what you think of his ideas, it’s great to a have an original voice of dissent challenging orthodoxy. I'm always a supporter of muckrakers that keep the system on its toes, and after an hour or so of standing there listening to him I was cheering like a maniac and thinking ‘ah shit Max, you’re cool, can I come talk to you?’ Then he was swamped with fans and I decided against doing that. Maybe I'll meet him one day and we can compare notes.

Financial Psychogeography: Suitpossum joins forces with CurioCity London

It’s a pleasure to announce that I will be syndicating out blog-posts to the website of the great new London-focused magazine CurioCity. CurioCity was started by Matthew Lloyd and Henry Elliot in early 2010, originally as an informal handmade pamphlet to distribute to friends and family. Back then, a group of us wrote articles and put together the first issue in Henry’s lounge in Kennington. It’s come a long way since then, and the first professionally printed version is now being stocked in iconic London outlets such as Foyles and Rough Trade. The website has now been set up to provide a regular flow of high quality pieces centered on London, suggesting ideas for experiences that are fun, educational, and that encourage a deeper engagement with the city.

Urban adventures in financial landscapes

My main focus is going to be ‘Financial Psychogeography’. ‘Psychogeography’ is a word that means different things to different people, but I’m taking it to refer to:

1. the exploration of cityscapes with the deliberate intent to break down oppressive or hegemonic ideas embodied in, or implied by, the physical space
2. and in the process seeking to reinvent or replace those ideas with unorthodox visions and alternative viewpoints… or something like that

Psycho-geography is about trying to identify the subconscious mental programmes that get installed in us by our physical environment. It’s also about creativity. It’s about trying to hack those programmes and reconfiguring the codes of mental DNA that condition how you perceive something. A greater awareness of physical space allows one to take mental control of it, and to re-enchant the cityscape with new perceptions. So basically it's an excuse for me to wonder around financial landscapes and reflect on them, considering what they might teach me about the world, how they might affect the way I think, and then maybe how the dominant ideas they impart can be challenged. This might be an epic waste of time, but if nothing else, it should provide a couple of fun outings and opportunities to embarrass myself.

Thus far, I've got two pieces up:

• Financial Landscapes: Fusing Canary Wharf with the real economy
• How to get good coffee in Berkeley Square

A brief history of psycho-geography

WHERE IT ALL BEGAN

If you look up the Wikipedia article about psycho-geography, you get some background history which says that psycho-geography was something developed by the Lettrist International, who broke away from some other group (also called the Lettrists) in France. It was spearheaded by a guy called Guy Debord, coming out with classic quotes like ‘the most urgent exercise of liberty is the destruction of idols’. Guy later wrote ‘The Society of the Spectacle’, a classic piece of ‘fuck-you authorities’ literature. By all accounts he and his mates were something like the French equivalent of Jack Kerouac and Alan Ginsberg, promoting a type of avant garde Marxism-meets-art sensibility, getting involved in the May 1968 wildcat strikes, and inspiring a generation of Gaulloises adverts and films like The Dreamers. Certainly, psycho-geography does bring to mind intense French students sitting around in cafes chain-smoking and fiercely debating the nature of the world. At its worst, it’s a load of pretentious bullshit, but if it’s done right with a bit of tongue in cheek, it can be a lot of fun. If it’s done really right, it can be transformational. Later generations of psycho-geographers like Iain Sinclairand Will Self have done a lot to bring to life the hidden codes of landscapes, and hopefully I can do the same in CurioCity.

Here is some footage of the launch party. I’m playing guitar in that.

New IPO: Pavilion REIT

Are you bored of the current small market capitalization of REITs in Malaysia? I think Sunway REIT (the largest REIT right now) is by far sitting there very lonely without anyone closer to it. Come 7th December 2011, we will witnessed a new contender - Pavilion REIT, to challenge the title. Although it may started-off in 2nd place, the new REIT may grows to clinch the first place from SunREIT. Below is some info taken from RHB Research report on the IPO;

Pavilion REIT (PavREIT) has an asset size of RM3.5bn, just after the largest MREIT - Sunway REIT’s RM4.5bn. PavREIT has two assets – Pavilion KL Mall which is worth RM3.4bn and Pavilion Tower (office) RM128m.

The Prime Asset

Pavilion Mall is one of the only four premium retail malls in KL. It is designed to complement the malls along Jalan Bukit Bintang, developing the street to a key shopping destination in the region. Located at the “Golden Triangle”, which is the business, shopping, entertainment and tourism district, the mall enjoys massive catchment of population. It has an NLA of 1.33m sqf.

Since it commenced its operations in late 2007, occupancy has consistently stayed above 96%, with a 3-year CAGR of 4% in average rental rate. With such a short operating history, the mall has recorded 31m visits in 2010, comparable to Suria KLCC’s 40m footfalls. Over the longer term, Pavilion Mall is poised to enjoy higher number of visits as it will sit near to the upcoming MRT station, which is less than 300m away. The covered skybridge currently under construction that connects Pavilion Mall and KL Convention Centre which in turn adjoins Suria KLCC and the Petronas Twin Towers, will also pull in more shopper traffic between the two tourist spots.

The Pavilion Tower (NLA of 167k sqf) is an office tower connected to Pavilion Mall. It currently has an occupancy rate of 41.4% (expected to achieve 80% by year end), housing Malton roup, Mrail International, Clever Eagle and Aker Engineering (from 1st July). As the office tower only contributes about 2% to total rental income, coupled with the oversupply of office space in KL city centre, we are neutral on this commercial asset.

Future Growth Potential

Three other retail assets can potentially be injected in future for growth. PavREIT has been granted rights of first refusals (ROFR) by its sponsor and a 3rd party to purchase fahrenheit88, Pavilion Mall extension and an upcoming community mall in USJ Subang. These assets are estimated to have a combined value of about RM1.5-2bn. We believe the injection of assets will take 2-3 years, as only farenheit88 is still in the early stage of operation, and the other two malls will only be completed in three years’ time.

How to Value?

We benchmark PavREIT against KLCCP. Although KLCCP includes non-retail assets such as office towers and hotel apart from Suria KLCC, all these assets are of Grade A class. To reflect its prime status, we value PavREIT at a target yield of 5%, which is close to the average yield of 4.72% for KLCCP over the past 5 years (we gross up to exclude the impact of corporate tax – as REITs do not have corporate tax component). This translates to a fair value of RM1.14, based on our FY12 DPU estimate.

Source: RHB Research report