Tuesday, January 31, 2012

A new campaign is born! Banking on something better with MoveYourMoney UK


I tried to spend Christmas day at the London Occupy camps, but truth be told, I couldn't stay there long and ended up wondering the City instead. Maybe I was just melancholic at spending another solitary Christmas, but I couldn’t help feeling that the original dynamism of Occupy was lost. I sat on the stairs of St. Paul’s and looked at a tent calling for everyone to become a vegan. There’s something slightly futile about that message. There's also something highly prescriptive about it, allowing little space for those who might sympathise in principle with the broad critique of finance, but who don't feel included in the ragtag countercultural facade. The Occupy movement is showing real signs of losing steam, and part of it is simply down to the fact that, when push comes to shove, it doesn't really offer that much to the everyday person.

That’s why I’m so pleased MoveYourMoneyUK arrived on the scene today. The campaign asks people to withdraw their money from the huge 'big 5' UK banks (Barclays, HSBC, Lloyds, RBS & Santander), and to deposit some or all of it into co-operatives, mutuals, credit unions and ethical banks. Coming on the heels of the more abstract Occupy-related campaigns, MYM seems to offer a wider range of people the chance to do something highly concrete, and which can make them feel included in an exciting process of incremental positive change.

CHRIS CLARK lays the smackdown on his Santander Card
While Occupy has offered some people a chance to take part in working groups on alternative economics, those always end up being  long on theory and short on practice, effective at making people stop and think for a moment, but not effective in holding them to any action. Indeed, most people are not pissed of with banks because of something imprecise like ‘neoliberalism’. People are pissed off because of specific issues like bonuses, tax avoidance, unethical investments and speculation, all of which are a step away from the ideological arguments about grand economic structure. A simple action like moving money is a practical step that is available to almost anyone to take part in, because even if people don't agree on all the epic ideological questions (like whether we should have a steady state economy etc.), the banking oligopoly has managed to do specific things that annoy the shit out of most people in some way or other.

I was involved in writing some contributions for the website (including a piece on commodity speculation). The overall narrative regarding the problems with banks has been designed to be as simple and intuitive as possible, and I've sketched it out in the diagram on the left. It goes roughly as follows: We deposit money into banks. Those banks claim that they’re committed to supporting small business and productive enterprise, yet most of their lending seems to go into socially useless activities and speculation. They’re notoriously lax in their ethical policies, investing in shite projects and dubious regimes. Through all of this they’re supported by government subsidy that enhances their profits, and they then take the piss with the huge bonuses, which only serves to distort behaviour and increase systemic risk. To top it all, there are the not-so-small issues of tax avoidance and mis-selling scandals.

The campaign lays this out and then lays out the alternative options for people: Put your money into mutuals and ethical banks that will steer clear of risky speculation, and that focus on supporting SMEs and prudent, socially useful lending. The campaign doesn't claim that alternative banks are perfect, but points out, that unlike the major incumbents, they at least make a lot more effort to be sustainable.

What I like most about this campaign is that it is not just a defensive reaction against the current banking system, but also a chance for people to proactively support and build the alternative. You might not have the time or inclination to be actively involved in policy discussions around financial reform, but you can help animate change by steering your money towards those challengers that are forging a new path against the stagnant and complacent banking status quo. It’s as much a creative vote of confidence in the ability to build something new as it is a protest against the old, and I’m fascinated to see how it might affect the alternative banking institutions.

Anyway, that's enough theorising. Please get involved and pledge to move some or all of your money in March 2012! I've already pledged, not that I have much money to move, and since doing that the high street suddenly looks full of exciting opportunities. Should I move to a big alternative like the Co-op Bank, or maybe a building society like Nationwide, or something much smaller like the London Mutual Credit Union? Watch this space for more on that, and in the mean time, check out the cool new MYM UK video...


Monday, January 30, 2012

BNM Further Liberalisation on Forex (Jan 2012)

As part of continuous efforts by Bank Negara Malaysia to enhance competitiveness in the economy and to develop the domestic financial markets, Bank Negara Malaysia wishes to announce the following liberalisation measures, with effect from 31 January 2012:



  1. To further spur the domestic foreign exchange market through greater product innovation, licensed onshore banks are permitted to trade foreign currency against another foreign currency with a resident.
  2. To further deepen the domestic interest rate derivatives market, a licensed onshore bank is allowed to offer ringgit-denominated interest rate derivatives to a non-bank non-resident.
  3. Towards enhancing the asset liability management of residents, flexibility is permitted for a resident to convert their existing ringgit or foreign currency debt obligation into a debt obligation of another foreign currency.


The above measures which are in line with the broad thrust of the Financial Sector Blueprint will contribute towards increasing the liquidity, depth and participation of wider range of players in the domestic financial markets.


Frequently Asked Questions:


  1. Can a resident buy and sell foreign currency against another foreign currency for any purpose?
    • Yes. With this liberalisation, a resident is allowed to buy and sell foreign currency against another foreign currency for any purpose including for trading. However, such transactions shall only be undertaken with a licensed onshore bank.
  2. Does the liberalisation include trading of foreign currency against ringgit?
    • No. The liberalisation is only for transactions involving foreign currency against another foreign currency for any purpose.
  3. What are the prevailing rules on investment in foreign currency assets?
  4. Who are the licensed onshore banks?
    • licensed commercial banks in Malaysia;
    • licensed Islamic banks in Malaysia; and
    • licensed investment banks in Malaysia.
  5. What are the prevailing rules on foreign currency credit facilities obtained by a resident?


For further information and enquiries on the measures, members of the public may contact Bank Negara Malaysia via Toll free line : 1 300 88 5465 (BNMTELELINK)

Source: BNM website

Sunday, January 29, 2012

Arthneeti Dec,2011 Issue

Dec,2011 Issue

Dear Readers,

2011 has not been the best of years for world's economy. Both developed
and developing part of globe struggled to sustain the growth.It all started
with frequent bad news from Euro Zone, followed by declining growth rate
back home. Outlook for year 2012 also seems to be uncertain.

Click here to download pdf version.

Finance Summit - FISCUS 2011

Finance Summit “FISCUS ‘11” was held on 1st October at Indian Merchants Chambers (IMC), Mumbai. FISCUS ’11 brought together students and finance stalwarts on a common platform to discuss a vital issue in the field of finance. The list of speakers included eminent personalities from the world of finance.
The Morning Session on“Financing the Corporate Needs of India Inc” was chaired by Mr. Gautam Patel, Advisor, Battery Ventures & Managing Partner, Citta Capital. The other Panelists included Mr. Manish Arora, Executive Vice President, Country Head-Product Development & Sales Effectiveness, Yes Bank, Mr. Bharat Sampat, CFO, DCB Bank, Mr. Sunil Sapre, CFO, CEAT, Mr. Vikram Gupta, CFO, Essar Shipping Corporation and Ms. Jayashree Ramaswamy, CFO, Dun & Bradstreet.


The Afternoon Session on “Developing the Indian Capital Markets”was chaired by Mr. B. Madhuprasad, Vice Chairman, Keynote Corporate Services. The other eminent speakers included Mr. Prashant Shetty, CEO, IDFC Capital, Mr. Rajiv Anand, CEO, Axis Mutual Fund, Mr. Sunit Joshi, Head-Capital Markets Group, SBI Capital Markets and Mr. Subrata Ray, Sr. Vice President, ICRA. There were Keynote Addresses by Mr. Viney Kumar, Executive Director, IDBI Bank and Mr. Sanjay Jain, Managing Director, head-Global Capital Markets, JM Financial on both the topics respectively.

Any Hidden Agenda Behind the Sales of POS and PROTON?

Lately, there was a slew of divestment by Khazanah Nasional Bhd (Investment arm of Malaysia Government). And, the most recent one was the divestment of Proton stakes to DRB-Hicom. But, the strange part was DRB-Hicom was the winning bidder for Khazanah's stake in POS Malaysia last year too.


Questions have been pouring in to Finance Malaysia regarding this issue, such as, are there any linkages between the two national deals? Other than DRB-Hicom, there was none other better suitors? As such, we would like to give our opinion on this matter. (Just for your reading pleasure)

You have the Questions, We have the Answers
First, both POS and Proton were considered as "sunset" companies in their respective industry. Both were not managed well and fallen from their glamorous days. Just as many investors written them off from investment radar, DRB-Hicom comes into the picture. Frankly speaking, the only asset both companies have was Government's backing.

While POS has the monopoly status in its services, Proton being the national car maker was trying to monopolize too by merging with Perodua. It's been a hot debate on whether Proton and Perodua should merge for better synergies. Anyway, we think that they should remain status quo to creates a healthy competition for consumers benefits.

Idea of the year: Combining POS and Proton via Stamp?
Where is the money comes from?
Another question was on the financial soundness of DRB-Hicom to acquires both companies. We as investors knows that DRB-Hicom does not have much cash in hand (even after excessive borrowing). The 32.21% stake at RM3.60 per share in POS costing RM622.79mil. Then, how about the Proton stake which amounted to over RM1bil? It's like a snake swallowing a cow, then a buffalo within few months!!! Can you imagine?


Any Hidden Agenda?
After all this, Finance Malaysia comes out with a guessing questions on the two deals between DRB-Hicom and Khazanah. Anything to do with the upcoming general election? (Seems like everything was linked to GE nowadays) Does the Government scared of losing the next general election and preparing to divest some of its assets first? Then, to whom they should divest to? Of course, their allies, right? DRB-Hicom?

But, what if they won again and POS and Proton was sold? No worry, because their good ally will always be able to sell it back to them (potentially with good investment gains too). Then, Khazanah can re-list again both POS and Proton proudly. Is this the case?

Well, we're guessing only. And, once again, this is for your reading pleasure only. Don't take it seriously. Happy Guessing.

Friday, January 20, 2012

CLSA Feng Shui Index 2012

In conjunction with the coming Chinese New Year, Finance Malaysia would like to bring to you another popular research report - funny and interesting - by CLSA. This year is called "Water Dragon" year. Is it a good or bad dragon? What does water means to this dragon? And most importantly, what's the predictions of markets from the angle of feng shui?


Prediction pattern patent pending
Past performance, as the tiny type whispers, is no guarantee of future behavior. After all, it may be no guarantee, but it's pretty much all we've got to go on. No matter how mathematically marvelous the model, how impossibly rational the behavior or how serial the killer instinct, not too far beyond the smirk and mirrors, precedent is invariably at play.


That the past is present in the future is fundamental to feng shui forecasting, which is why we slipped on the archaeological geomancy fancy-pants and took the pith helmets to pore over the charted remains of the most recent Wyrms Past - a sort of reverse inter the Dragons. Sadly, there's not much to seer among dem dry bones. A few scraps of scapula, but nothing oracular. Humerus? Not around this joint.

Would KLCI this year's pattern turn out to be like this?
We doubt that even market historian Yale Hirsch could discern any distintive Draconic DNA in the squiggles and highlights left and south. That they mark the start of every third Presidential Election Cycle doesn't help us much, especially given that Hirsch's theory has fallen flat of late. At the risk of straying into 'one hand clapping' and 'unknown unknowns' territory, perhaps that's the pattern: Dragons are simply predictably unpredictable.

Elemental Health Check:

Metals Sector:
Financials, Gold, Resources, Autos, Banks, Broking, Computer Hardware, Currencies, Dental, Engineering, Legal, Steel.

Wood Sector:
Retail, Agriculture, Education, Fashion, Forestry, Furniture, Garments, Packaging, Pulp and Paper, Plantations, Politics, Printing, Textiles, Traditional Media, Soft Commodities.

Water Sector:
Gaming, Transport, Fishing, Beverages, Marketing, Tourism.

Fire Sector:
Oil and Gas, Technology, Telecoms/Internet, Utilities, Accounting, Advertising, Aviation, Economics, Electrical Entertainment, Energy, Fast Food, Foundries, Petrochems, Services.

Earth Sector:
Agriculture, Building Materials, Cement, Chemicals, Construction, Developers, Government, Hotels, Human Resources, Cosmetics, Insurance, Management, Pharmaceuticals, Property.

Source: CLSA

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Ska vi tro på fastighetsmäklarna? – Del VI

Det har gått ett knappt halvår år sedan jag skrev om bostadspriserna (i Malmö) sist så nu är det dags att ta en titt igen. Se Ska vi tro på fastighetsmäklarna? - Del I-V.

Denna gång hittade jag ungefär 1300 lägenheter till salu i Malmö (1500 i sept 2011). Av dessa hade ungefär 150 (175 i sept 2011) någon gång under den tid de legat ute fått se sitt pris sänkt och 10 (10 i sept 2011) fått se sitt pris höjt (de är alltså fortfarande till salu). Genomsnittsprishöjningen var 6.5% (10% i sept 2011) och genomsnittssänkningen var –9% (-9% i sept 2011).

Min (helt ovetenskapliga och föga förvånande med tanke på medierapporteringen) slutsats är därmed att avmattningen som kunnat noteras i Malmö en tid vad gäller lägenhetspriser tycks ha fortsatt!

Överlag har den genomsnittliga prissänkningen hos de objekt som sänkts legat mkt konstant sedan 2008 på -9% och jag vet ej vad det beror på. Ökningen för de (få!) objekt som prishöjts är dock på en all-time-low just nu (6.5%). Vidare, att antalet lägenheter som är till salu har minskat jämfört med september har jag ingen förklaring till. Det kan vara min datainsamlingsmetod som påverkar denna siffra men det kan också vara ngt annat i görningen, t.ex. säsongsvariationer. Sedan hösten 2008 har denna siffra fluktuerat mellan 1000 och 1800.